UFC 321: Alexander Volkov vs. Jailton Almeida Prediction

UFC 321: Alexander Volkov vs. Jailton Almeida Prediction for Tomorrow, 10/25/25

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UFC 321: Alexander Volkov vs. Jailton Almeida Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Almeida Win(-198)

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 321 will see Alexander Volkov take on Jailton Almeida. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Volkov enters this fight with an MMA record of 38-11 and 12-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.97 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Volkov absorbs 2.99 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is only decent, averaging 0.61 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Almeida enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-3 and 9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.62 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 65%. Almeida absorbs 0.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.58 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.4 submission attempts during the same period. Almeida has a takedown accuracy of 60% and a takedown defense of 60%.

Almeida is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. While Almeida is lacking in striking volume, he more than makes up for it with his grappling and ability to force submissions. Because of this advantage in grappling, backing Almeida to win will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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