UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane Prediction

UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane Prediction for Tomorrow, 10/25/25

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UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Aspinall Win by KO/TKO(-125)

The Main Event at UFC 321 will see Tom Aspinall take on Ciryl Gane. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division and will be for the UFC Heavyweight title. Aspinall enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-3 and 8-1 in the UFC. He averages 8.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 67%. Aspinall absorbs 2.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 3.27 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. Aspinall has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Gane enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 10-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.26 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 61%. Gane is absorbing 2.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.70 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 25% and a takedown defense of 43%.

Aspinall is the heavy favorite in this fight, mainly because he holds the UFC Heavyweight title. Because of this, we will target the method by which Aspinall will win. Through 9 UFC fights, Aspinall has seen all of them end by finish. He has won 8 times by finish in the UFC and 6 times by KO/TKO, including his last 3 fights in a row. Based on this, backing Aspinall to win by KO/TKO will be our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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