UFC 322: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Islam Makhachev Prediction for Today, 11/16/25

The Main Event at UFC 322 will see Jack Della Maddalena take on Islam Makhachev. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division and will be for the UFC Welterweight title. Della Maddalena enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-2 and 9-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Della Maddalena absorbs 4.53 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 64%. His grappling has been non-existent, though, averaging just 0.16 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 11% and a takedown defense of 69%.

Makhachev enters this fight with an MMA record of 27-1 and 16-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.63 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Makhachev absorbs 1.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 3.20 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. Makhachev has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 90%.

Despite being the title challenger, Makhachev is the significant favorite. Because of that, we will be targeting this fight to end inside the distance. Della Maddalena has seen 5 of his last 8 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Makhachev has seen 8 of his last 9 UFC fights do the same. Given this, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.