UFC 323: Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira Prediction for Saturday, 12/06/25

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 323 will see Brandon Moreno take on Tatsuro Taira. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Moreno enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-8-2 and 11-5-2 in the UFC. He averages 3.96 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Moreno absorbs 3.62 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.51 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 44%, and he has a takedown defense of 64%.

Taira enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.87 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Taira absorbs 2.54 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.21 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same period. Taira has a takedown accuracy of 48% and his takedown defense is 45%.

Taira is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. Moreno has been inconsistent in the UFC as of recently, having won just 2 of his last 4 fights. Taira, on the other hand, has won 3 of his last 4 UFC fights. Moreno does have the advantage in striking volume; however, Taira is a much better grappler and still has solid enough striking to be able to stand up and fight. Given the advantage in grappling and his better form, backing Taira to win will be our play.