UFC 323: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Prediction

UFC 323: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Prediction for Sunday, 12/07/25

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UFC 323: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Dvalishvili Win by Decision(-250)

The Main Event at UFC 323 will see Merab Dvalishvili take on Petr Yan. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division and will be for the UFC Bantamweight title. Dvalishvili enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-4 and 14-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. Dvalishvili is absorbing 2.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is elite as he averages 6.40 takedowns every 15 minutes. Dvalishvili also has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 82%.

Yan enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-5 and 11-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.12 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Yan absorbs 4.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.58 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 48% and his takedown defense is 85%.

Dvalishvili is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking to target his possible method of victory. He has won 6 of his last 7 UFC fights by decision, while Yan’s last three UFC losses were by decision. Further, Dvalishvili has the clear advantage in grappling; therefore, backing Dvalishvili to win by decision will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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