UFC 325: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes Prediction for Tomorrow, 01/31/26

The Main Event at UFC 325 will see Alexander Volkanovski take on Diego Lopes. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division and for the UFC Featherweight title. Volkanovski enters this fight with an MMA record of 27-4 and 14-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.18 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Volkanovski absorbs 3.36 significant strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. When it comes to grappling, Volkanovski is averaging 1.67 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 70%.

Lopes enters this fight with a record of 27-7 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.10 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Lopes is absorbing 4.72 significant strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is not as strong, averaging just 0.79 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 55% and a takedown defense of 67%.

While Volkanovski is the favorite, he still looks to be the best betting option. He and Lopes just fought in April 2025, a fight Volkanovski won handily by unanimous decision. He has been inconsistent recently, going 2-3 over his last 5 UFC fights; however, he has the superior striking volume and a strong takedown defense to counter Lopes’ submission ability. For that reason, backing Volkanovski to win will be our play.