UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis Prediction

UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis Prediction for Tomorrow, 01/31/26

Qudos Bank Arena
Tomorrow
Google News

UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Saint Denis Win by Finish(-130)

The Co-Main Event at UFC 325 will see Dan Hooker take on Benoit Saint Denis. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Hooker enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-13 and 14-9 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Hooker is absorbing 4.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling, however, has not been impressive, averaging just 0.71 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 77%.

Saint Denis enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-3 and 8-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Saint Denis is absorbing 4.21 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. His grappling is also elite, averaging 4.33 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. Saint Denis has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 70%.

Saint Denis is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking for him to win by any finish. He has won all 8 of his UFC fights inside the distance, while Hooker has lost 5 times by finish, including his most recent fight. Further, Saint Denis has the advantage in both striking volume and grappling. For that reason, backing Saint Denis to win by any finish will be our best bet.

Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Matthew Lowrimore