UFC 325: Rafael Fiziev vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction

UFC 325: Rafael Fiziev vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction for Tomorrow, 01/31/26

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UFC 325: Rafael Fiziev vs. Mauricio Ruffy Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Ruffy Win(-125)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 325 will see Rafael Fiziev take on Mauricio Ruffy. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Fiziev enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-4 and 7-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Fiziev is absorbing 4.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.89 takedowns every 15 minutes. Fiziev has a takedown accuracy of 72% and a takedown defense of 90%.

Ruffy enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and 4-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Ruffy absorbs 4.16 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 84%.

Ruffy is the small favorite in this fight; however, still looks to be the best betting option. He is much more of a balanced fighter, so while his striking volume is not as strong, he has the advantage in grappling. Fiziev is also 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights; therefore, backing Ruffy to win will be our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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