UFC 326: Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction for Today, 03/07/26

The Co-Main Event at UFC 326 will see Caio Borralho take on Reinier de Ridder. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Borralho comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-2 and 9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Borralho is absorbing 2.50 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.28 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy 48% and a takedown defense of 76%.

De Ridder enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-3 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. De Ridder is absorbing 2.04 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 2.68 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 50%.

Borralho is the significant favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Borralho has seen 6 of his last 8 UFC fights go the distance, while De Ridder has only seen 1 of his 5 UFC fights do the same. Despite that, Barralho has never lost by finish; therefore, backing this fight to go the distance will be our lean.