UFC 326: Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson Prediction for Today, 03/07/26

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 326 will see Drew Dober take on Michael Johnson. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Dober enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-15 and 15-11 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.52 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Dober absorbs 4.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is not as strong, averaging 0.63 takedowns every 15 minutes. Dober has a takedown accuracy of 16% and a takedown defense of 58%.

Johnson enters this fight with an MMA record of 25-19 and 16-15 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. Johnson absorbs 3.79 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling ability is also decent, averaging 0.58 takedowns every 15 minutes. Johnson has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 81%.

Johnson is the small favorite in this fight; however, he still looks to be the best betting option. While Johnson has been inconsistent for long stretches throughout his UFC career, his recent form has been excellent. Johnson has won 4 of his last 6 UFC fights, which include his last three fights in a row. As for Dober, his overall UFC record is slightly better, but his recent form is much worse. Dober has lost 4 of his last 6 UFC fights. Therefore, based on the direction these two fighters are going, backing Johnson to win is our best bet.