UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction for Tomorrow, 03/07/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 326 will see Gregory Rodrigues take on Brunno Ferreira. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Rodrigues enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-6 and 9-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Rodrigues is absorbing 4.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has also been excellent, averaging 1.93 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Ferreira enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. He averages 3.85 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Ferreira absorbs 3.99 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.29 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 23% and a takedown defense of 61%.

Rodrigues is the heavy favorite in this fight; however, given that Ferreira has previously beaten him, we will be looking at the method by which this fight could end. Ferreira has seen 5 of his 9 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Rodrigues has seen 7 of his last 9 UFC fights do the same. Given this, and the fact that the first fight between these two ended by KO/TKO, backing the same here will be our lean.