UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction

UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction for Tomorrow, 03/07/26

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UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Fight to End by KO/TKO(-175)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 326 will see Gregory Rodrigues take on Brunno Ferreira. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Rodrigues enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-6 and 9-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Rodrigues is absorbing 4.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has also been excellent, averaging 1.93 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Ferreira enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. He averages 3.85 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Ferreira absorbs 3.99 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.29 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 23% and a takedown defense of 61%.

Rodrigues is the heavy favorite in this fight; however, given that Ferreira has previously beaten him, we will be looking at the method by which this fight could end. Ferreira has seen 5 of his 9 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Rodrigues has seen 7 of his last 9 UFC fights do the same. Given this, and the fact that the first fight between these two ended by KO/TKO, backing the same here will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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