UFC 327: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa Predictions for Saturday, 04/11/26

The Co-Main Event at UFC 327 will see Azamat Murzakanov take on Paulo Costa. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Murzakanov enters this fight with a record of 16-0 and 7-0 in the UFC. He averages 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Murzakanov absorbs 2.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.55 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 15% and a takedown defense of 87%.

Costa enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-4 and 7-4 in the UFC. He averages 6.26 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Costa absorbs 6.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.32 takedowns every 15 minutes. Costa has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Murzakanov is the heavy favorite in this fight; however, he still looks to be the best betting option. Costa has the advantage in striking volume, but Murzakanov absorbs far fewer strikes, and he has never lost in the UFC. Given this, backing Murakanov to win will be our lean.