UFC Fight Night 256: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig Prediction for Saturday, 05/17/25

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 256 will see Rodolfo Bellato take on Paul Craig. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Bellato enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2-1 and 2-1-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.28 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 62%. Bellato absorbs 6.31 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.06 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Craig enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-9-1 and he is 9-9-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.52 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Craig absorbs 3.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 43%. Craig has solid grappling ability, averaging 1.52 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 20%, and his takedown defense is 37%.

With Bellato being the heavy favorite, we are going to look to back a total rounds prop for this fight. Craig has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Bellato has seen all 4 of his UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds. Craig has recently lost several times by finish, but has been able to survive a least a few rounds in these fights. For that reason, backing this fight to go Over 1.5 Rounds will be our best bet.