UFC Fight Night 258: Benoit Saint Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction for Saturday, 09/06/25

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Benoit Saint Denis take on Mauricio Ruffy. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Saint Denis enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Saint Denis is absorbing 4.61 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%. His grappling is also elite, averaging 4.19 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same period. Saint Denis has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense of 70%.

Ruffy enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-1 and 4-0 in the UFC. He averages 4.54 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Ruffy absorbs 4.59 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Ruffy is the clear favorite; however, we will be looking for this fight to end by KO/TKO. Saint Denis has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Ruffy has seen 3 of his 4 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.