UFC Fight Night 258: Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones Prediction

UFC Fight Night 258: Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones Prediction for Saturday, 09/06/25

Accor Arena
Sat Sep 6

UFC Fight Night 258: Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Oki Win(+114)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Bolaji Oki take on Mason Jones. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Oki enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-2 and 3-1 in the UFC. He averages 7.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Oki absorbs 4.76 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 85%.

Jones enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-2 and 2-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.56 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Jones is absorbing 4.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 4.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 52% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Jones is the slight favorite in this fight, but Oki looks to be a solid option to pull off the upset. Oki has the clear edge in striking volume and has a strong enough takedown defense to counter the advantage Jones has. Oki has also been more consistent in the UFC; therefore, backing Oki to win will be our play.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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