UFC Fight Night 258: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction for Saturday, 09/06/25

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Modestas Bukauskas take on Paul Craig. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Bukauskas enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-6 and 6-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.26 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. Bukauskas absorbs 4.07 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has not been very strong, averaging just 0.31 takedowns every 15 minutes. Bukauskas has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 77%.

Craig enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-9-1 and he is 9-9-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.54 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Craig absorbs 3.00 strikes and has a striking defense of 43%. Craig has solid grappling ability, averaging 1.47 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 19%, and his takedown defense is 35%.

Bukauskas is the significant favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking to back this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Both Craig and Bukauskas have seen 4 of their last 6 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds; therefore, backing the same here will be our play.