UFC Fight Night 258: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho Prediction for Saturday, 09/06/25

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Nassourdine Imavov take on Caio Borralho. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Imavov enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-4 and 8-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Imavov is absorbing 3.26 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.85 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts over the same period. Imavov has a takedown accuracy of 32% and his takedown defense is 78%.

Borralho comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 9-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Borralho is absorbing 2.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.56 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy 60% and his takedown defense is 76%.

Borralho is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. He has been perfect in the UFC, and while his striking volume is not quite as strong as Imavov’s, he does have the edge in grappling. Additionally, Borralho has been much better at absorbing damage and is a more accurate striker. For that reason, backing Borralho to win will be our play.