UFC Fight Night 258: Patricio Freire vs. Losene Keita Prediction

UFC Fight Night 258: Patricio Freire vs. Losene Keita Prediction for Saturday, 09/06/25

Accor Arena
Sat Sep 6

UFC Fight Night 258: Patricio Freire vs. Losene Keita Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Keita Win(-218)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Patricio Freire take on Losene Keita. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Keita enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1, and this will be his UFC debut.

Freire enters this fight with an MMA record of 37-8 and 1-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.68 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Freire absorbs 4.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He also has solid grappling ability, averaging 1.49 takedowns every 15 minutes. Freire has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 88%.

Even though Keita is making his UFC debut in this fight, he is still the heavy favorite. Keita does, however, look to be a decent betting option despite Freire’s MMA experience. He has won his last 5 fights in a row, while Freire is 2-3 over the same stretch. Because Keita is in better form, backing him to win will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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