UFC Fight Night 261: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel Jackson Prediction for Tomorrow, 10/11/25

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 261 will see Deiveson Figueiredo take on Montel Jackson. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Figueiredo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-5-1 and 13-5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.82 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Figueiredo absorbs 3.64 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.69 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 35%, and he has a takedown defense of 58%.

Jackson enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 10-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.22 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Jackson is absorbing 1.39 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 3.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. Jackson has a takedown accuracy of 62% and a takedown defense of 68%.

Jackson is the significant favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has the edge in both striking and grappling, and is in much better form. Jackson has won each of his last 6 UFC fights in a row, while Figueiredo has won 3 of his last 6 UFC fights. Given that Jackson has been much better recently, backing him to win will be our play.