UFC Fight Night 261: Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell Prediction for Tomorrow, 10/11/25
UFC Fight Night 261: Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell Pickswise Expert Predictions
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 261 will see Lucas Almeida take on Michael Aswell. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Almeida enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-4 and 2-4 in the UFC. He averages 4.94 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. Almeida absorbs 5.04 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 53%.
Aswell enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-3 and 0-2 in the UFC. He averages 9.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Aswell absorbs 7.93 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. He has also not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 57%.
Aswell is the slight favorite; however, we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Almeida and Aswell have seen each of their last 2 UFC fights go the distance; therefore, backing the same will be our lean.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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