UFC Fight Night 263: Steve Garcia vs. David Onama Prediction for Today, 11/01/25

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 263 will see Steve Garcia take on David Onama. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Garcia comes into this fight with an MMA record of 18-5 and 8-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.18 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Garcia is absorbing 2.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 0.90 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 88%.

Onama enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2 and 6-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.24 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Onama is absorbing 4.73 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 1.08 takedowns every 15 minutes. Further, he has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 52%.

Garcia is the favorite in this fight and looks to be the best betting option. He has won 6 UFC fights in a row. Garcia’s striking volume is slightly less than Onama’s, but his grappling is comparable to Onama’s, especially his takedown defense. Both fighters are in great form, but because Garcia has not lost since 2022, backing him to win will be our best bet.