UFC Fight Night 265: Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Machado Garry Prediction

UFC Fight Night 265: Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Machado Garry Prediction for Saturday, 11/22/25

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Sat Nov 22
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UFC Fight Night 265: Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Machado Garry Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - Yes(-275)

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 265 will see Belal Muhammad take on Ian Machado Garry. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Muhammad enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-4 and 15-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Muhammad absorbs 3.78 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 90%.

Garry enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1 and 9-1 in the UFC. He averages 4.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Garry is absorbing 2.77 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.02 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 73%.

For this fight, we will be targeting it to go the distance. Muhammad has seen 8 of his last 9 UFC fights go the distance, while Garry has seen 7 of his last 9 UFC fights do the same. Given that both fighters have rarely finished their fights inside the distance, backing this fight to go the distance will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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