UFC Fight Night 265: Jack Hermansson vs. Myktybek Orolbai Prediction for Saturday, 11/22/25

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 265 will see Jack Hermansson take on Myktybek Orolbai. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Hermansson enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-9 and 11-7 in the UFC. He averages 5.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Hermansson absorbs 3.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 29% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Orolbai enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.11 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Orolbai is absorbing 3.08 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has been elite so far in the UFC, averaging 5.82 takedowns every 15 minutes. Orolbai has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 40%.

Orolbai is the significant favorite in this fight; however, still looks to be the best betting option. Hermansson has been inconsistent in the UFC recently, going 4-5 in his last 9 UFC fights. Hermansson does have the advantage in striking advantage, but Orolbai is much better at grappling. Therefore, because Hermansson has been wildly inconsistent in the UFC, backing Orolbai to win will be our lean.