UFC Fight Night 265: Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Prediction for Today, 11/22/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 265 will see Tagir Ulanbekov take on Kyoji Horiguchi. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Ulanbekov enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-2 and 6-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.37 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Ulanbekov absorbs 3.36 strikes and has a striking accuracy of 52%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.94 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 62%

Horiguchi enters this fight with an MMA record of 34-5 and 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 3.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Horiguchi absorbs 2.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 44% and a takedown accuracy of 55%.

Ulanbekov is the clear favorite, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has won 4 UFC fights in a row, while Horiguchi has not fought in the UFC since 2016. Further, Ulanbekov has the advantage in grappling and submission attempts, while Horiguchi has struggled to defend takedowns. Because of this, backing Ulanbekov to win will be our play.