UFC Fight Night 266: Jailton Almeida vs. Rizvan Kuniev Prediction for Saturday, 02/07/26

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 266 will see Jailton Almeida take on Rizvan Kuniev. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Almeida enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-4 and 9-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.25 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 66%. Almeida absorbs 1.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 35%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.66 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.0 submission attempts during the same period. Almeida has a takedown accuracy of 62% and a takedown defense of 60%.

Rizvan enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-3-1 and 2-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Rizvan is absorbing 2.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. His grappling has been solid throughout his UFC career, averaging 1.45 takedowns every 15 minutes. Rizvan has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 90%.

Ameida is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight; however, he still looks to be the best betting option. Not only does Almeida have the advantage in striking volume, but he also has the advantage in grappling. He also has much more UFC experience; therefore, backing Almeida to win will be our play.