UFC Fight Night 267: Zach Reese vs. Michel Pereira Prediction for Saturday, 02/21/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 267 will see Zach Reese take on Michel Pereira. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Reese enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He averages 4.32 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Reese absorbs 3.82 strikes and has a striking defense of 39%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.41 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 57%.

Pereira enters this fight with an MMA record of 31-14 and 9-5 in the UFC. He averages 4.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Pereira absorbs 4.23 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.27 takedowns every 15 minutes. Pereira has a takedown accuracy of 52% and a takedown defense of 76%.

Pereira is the moderate favorite in this fight; however, Reese looks to be a solid betting option. For one, Pereira has been in terrible form as of late, going 0-3 in his last 3 UFC fights. Meanwhile, Reese is 4-1 in his last 5 UFC fights.

Pereira and Reese are comparable when it comes to striking volume, but Reese has the clear edge in grappling. Because of this, backing Reese to win will be our best bet.