UFC Fight Night 269: Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos Prediction

UFC Fight Night 269: Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos Prediction for Saturday, 03/14/26

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Sat Mar 14
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UFC Fight Night 269: Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Vallejos Win by Finish(-135)

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Josh Emmett take on Kevin Vallejos. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Emmett enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-6 and 10-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.72 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 35%. Emmett absorbs 4.43 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.08 takedowns every 15 minutes. Emmett has a takedown accuracy of 37% and a takedown defense of 43%.

Vallejos enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Vallejos is absorbing 4.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has been a decent grappler, averaging 0.71 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 28%, and his takedown defense is 83%.

Vallejos is one of the biggest favorites on the fight card; therefore, we will be looking at his method of victory. Through 5 UFC fights, Vallejos has won 3 of them by finish. Emmett, on the other hand, is 1-4 in his last 5 UFC fights, which includes 2 losses by finish. Overall, Vallejos has won 14 of his 17 career MMA fights by finish; therefore, backing the same here will be our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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