UFC Fight Night 269: Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick Prediction for Tomorrow, 03/14/26

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Marwan Rahiki take on Harry Hardwick. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Rahiki enters this fight with an MMA record of 7-0 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.96 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Rahiki absorbs 6.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. While he has not landed any takedowns in his lone UFC Contender Series fight, Rahiki averages 2.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Further, he has a takedown defense of 100%.

Hardwick enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-4-1 and 0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 34%. Hardwick is absorbing 7.16 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%.

Rahiki is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking at the exact method of victory. Hardwick has seen just 4 of his 18 career MMA fights end by KO/TKO, but this includes his lone UFC fights. Rahiki, on the other hand, has seen 6 of his 7 career MMA fights end by KO/TKO, which also includes his lone UFC fight. Both fighters have already shown their knockout power in the UFC, while neither has shown much grappling ability. For that reason, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our lean.