UFC Fight Night 269: Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund Prediction for Saturday, 03/14/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Vitor Petrino take on Steven Asplund. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Petrino enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Petrino is absorbing 2.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.04 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 51% and a takedown defense of 79%.

Asplund enters this fight with an MMA record of 7-1 and 2-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 19.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Asplund absorbs 7.49 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Petrino is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at the exact method of victory. Asplund may only have 2 UFC fights under his belt, but both of them have ended by KO/TKO. Petrino, on the other hand, has seen 2 of his last 3 UFC fights end by KO/TKO. Therefore, based on the fact that both fighters have shown immense striking ability, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.