UFC Fight Night 269: Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund Prediction

UFC Fight Night 269: Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund Prediction for Saturday, 03/14/26

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Sat Mar 14
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UFC Fight Night 269: Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund Pickswise Expert Predictions

Method of Victory Pick
Fight to End by KO/TKO(+130)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Vitor Petrino take on Steven Asplund. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Petrino enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Petrino is absorbing 2.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.04 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 51% and a takedown defense of 79%.

Asplund enters this fight with an MMA record of 7-1 and 2-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 19.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Asplund absorbs 7.49 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has not shown any grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Petrino is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at the exact method of victory. Asplund may only have 2 UFC fights under his belt, but both of them have ended by KO/TKO. Petrino, on the other hand, has seen 2 of his last 3 UFC fights end by KO/TKO. Therefore, based on the fact that both fighters have shown immense striking ability, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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