UFC Fight Night 270: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson Prediction for Saturday, 03/21/26

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 270 will see Michael Page take on Sam Patterson. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Page enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-3 and 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Page absorbs 1.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. Page’s grappling has been poor, averaging 0.23 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 16% and a takedown defense of 66%.

Patterson enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2-1 and 5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Patterson is absorbing 3.93 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.39 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.8 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 33%.

Page is the heavy betting favorite in this fight; however, Patterson looks to be a great option to pull off the upset. For one, Patterson has won all his UFC fights by finish. He is also more of a balanced fighter, having shown solid grappling ability, compared to Page, who has shown very little. Given that Patterson has the edge in both striking volume and grappling, plus has proven to be able to win quickly, backing Patterson to win will be our best bet.