UFC Fight Night 270: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction for Saturday, 03/21/26

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 270 will see Roman Dolidze take on Christian Leroy Duncan. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Dolidze enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-4 and 9-4 in the UFC. He averages 3.41 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Dolidze absorbs 3.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 0.99 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.8 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense of 26%.

Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 6-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Duncan absorbs 2.97 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.40 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 20%, and his takedown defense is 69%.

Duncan is the overwhelming favorite in this game; therefore, we will be looking at a total rounds prop. Dolidze has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights go over 2.5 rounds, while Duncan has seen 5 of his 7 UFC fights do the same. Both fighters have rarely lost by finish in their careers, especially early in a fight. For that reason, backing over 2.5 total rounds will be our best bet.