UFC Fight Night 271: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer Prediction for Saturday, 03/28/26

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 271 will see Israel Adesanya take on Joe Pyfer. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Adesanya enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-5 and 13-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Adesanya is absorbing 3.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is essentially nonexistent, averaging 0.05 takedowns every 15 minutes. Further, Adesanya has a takedown accuracy of 11% and a takedown defense of 76%.

Pyfer enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-3 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Pyfer absorbs 3.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.23 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 33%, and his takedown defense is 50%.

Adesanya is the moderate-sized favorite; however, backing this fight to end inside the distance looks to be the best betting option. Pfyer has seen 7 of his 9 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Adesanya has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights do the same. Therefore, because both fighters have had a high finish rate recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.