UFC Fight Night 271: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas Predictions for Today, 03/28/26

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 271 will see Julian Erosa take on Lerryan Douglas. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Erosa enters this fight with an MMA record of 31-13 and 10-8 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.21 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Erosa absorbs 6.27 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.78 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 43% and a takedown defense of 61%.

Douglas enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-5 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 11.67 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 87%. Douglas absorbs 5.00 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%.

Douglas is the heavy favorite; therefore, we will be looking at the method by which this fight will end. Erosa has seen 19 of his 43 career MMA fights end by KO/TKO, while Douglas has seen 9 of his 18 career MMA fights end by the same method. With that, backing this fight to also end by KO/TKO will be our lean.