UFC Fight Night 271: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price Predictions for Saturday, 03/28/26

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 271 will see Michael Chiesa take on Niko Price. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Chiesa comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-7 and 12-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.03 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Chiesa absorbs 1.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has proven to be stronger than his striking, averaging 3.05 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 47%, and his takedown defense is 67%.

Price enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-10 and 8-10 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Price absorbs 5.61 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling has been decent at best, averaging 0.98 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 28% and a takedown defense of 50%.

Chiesa is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking at the method by which he could win. Price has been poor in the UFC over the last few years, having gone 2-6 in his last 8 UFC fights. Of his 6 losses during this stretch, four of them have been by finish. As for Chiesa, he is 7-3 in his last 10 UFC fights and has won 2 of his last 3 UFC fights by finish. With that, backing Chiesa to win by finish will be our lean.