UFC Fight Night 272: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam Predictions for Saturday, 04/04/26

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 272 will see Ethyn Ewing take on Rafael Estevam. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Ewing enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-2 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.67 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Ewing absorbs 5.13 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 3.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 60%, and his takedown defense is 100%.

Estevam enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-0 and 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Estevam absorbs 2.59 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.01 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and has a takedown defense of 66%.

Ewing is the favorite; however, Estevam looks to be the best betting option. Estevam does not have the greatest striking volume compared to Ewing, but his grappling ability is much more sound. Further, he absorbs fewer strikes and has elite grappling ability. For that reason, backing Estevam to pull off the upset will be our best bet.