UFC on ESPN 67: Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction for Sunday, 05/04/25

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 67 will see Cory Sandhagen take on Deiveson Figueiredo. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Sandhagen enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-5 and 10-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Sandhagen is absorbing 3.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.19 takedowns every 15 minutes. Sandhagen has a takedown defense of 32% and a takedown defense of 63%.

Figueiredo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-4-1 and 13-4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.91 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Figueiredo absorbs 3.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.62 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.4 submission attempts during the same period. His takedown accuracy is 34%, and he has a takedown defense of 60%.

Sandhagen is the significant favorite, however, Figueiredo looks to be an underdog worth backing. Where he lacks in striking volume, he makes up for in his grappling ability. Further, Sandhagen is an inconsistent 3-3 in his last 6 UFC fights, while Figueiredo is 4-2 over the same period. Given that Figueiredo has been a former champion, backing him to pull the upset will be our best bet.