UFC on ESPN 67: Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction

UFC on ESPN 67: Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction for Saturday, 05/03/25

Wells Fargo Arena
Sat May 3

UFC on ESPN 67: Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Pickswise Expert Predictions

Total Rounds Pick
Over 1.5 Rounds(-205)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 67 will see Jeremy Stephens take on Mason Jones. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Stephens enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-19 and 15-18 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Stephens absorbs 3.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.16 takedowns every 15 minutes. Stephens has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 65%.

Jones enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 1-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Jones is absorbing 4.94 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.16 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Jones is the overwhelming favorite, so we will be looking for this fight to go over 1.5 total rounds. Stephens has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds, while Jones has seen each of his last 3 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing over 1.5 total rounds will be our lean.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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