UFC on ESPN 69: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Petroski Prediction for Tomorrow, 06/14/25

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 69 will see Edmen Shahbazyan take on Andre Petroski. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Shahbazyan enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-5 and 8-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Shahbazyan is absorbing 3.85 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.97 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38%, and his takedown defense is 65%.

Petroski enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-4 and 8-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Petroski is absorbing 2.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. He also has elite grappling ability, averaging 3.38 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same period. Petroski has a takedown accuracy of 54% and a takedown defense of 85%.

Shahbazyan is the heavy favorite in this fight, but he has been wildly inconsistent in the UFC recently. He is just 3-5 over his last 8 UFC fights, while Petroski is 6-2 over his last 8 UFC fights. Shahbazyan still has the advantage in striking, but Petroski has a major advantage in grappling, especially when it comes to forcing submission. Given that Petroski is in much better form, backing him to pull the upset will be our best bet.