UFC on ESPN 70: Calvin Kattar vs. Steve Garcia Prediction for Today, 07/12/25

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Calvin Kattar take on Steve Garcia. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Kattar enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-9 and 7-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. Kattar is absorbing 6.62 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has not been consistent, averaging 0.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 29% and a takedown defense of 77%.

Garcia comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-5 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.04 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Garcia is absorbing 2.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.17 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 88%.

Garcia is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. He has won his last 5 UFC fights in a row, while Kattar has lost his last 4 UFC fights in a row and 5 of his last 6 UFC fights. Garcia also has the edge in striking volume and grappling; therefore, backing Garcia to win will be our best bet.