UFC on ESPN 71: Elves Brener vs. Esteban Ribovics Prediction for Today, 08/02/25
UFC on ESPN 71: Elves Brener vs. Esteban Ribovics Pickswise Expert Predictions
The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Elves Brener take on Esteban Ribovics. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Brener comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-5 and 3-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.99 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Brener absorbs 5.30 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.23 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 23% and his takedown defense is 76%.
Ribovics enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2 and 4-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 8.08 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Ribovics is absorbing 5.92 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes. Ribovics has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 63%.
For this fight, we will be targeting a total rounds prop. Brener has seen 4 of his 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Ribovics has seen 4 of his 6 UFC fights do the same. Based on this, backing over 1.5 rounds will be our lean.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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