UFC on ESPN 71: Mateusz Rebecki vs. Chris Duncan Prediction for Tomorrow, 08/02/25
UFC on ESPN 71: Mateusz Rebecki vs. Chris Duncan Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 71 will see Mateusz Rebecki take on Chris Duncan. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Rebecki enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-2 and 5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Rebecki absorbs 4.13 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 3.84 takedowns every 15 minutes. Rebecki has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 45%.
Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Duncan absorbs 3.63 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.10 takedowns every 15 minutes. Duncan has a takedown accuracy of 43% and a takedown of 37%.
For this fight, we will be targeting it to end inside the distance. Rebecki has seen 4 of his 6 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Duncan has seen 5 of his 7 UFC fights do the same, including his last 3 UFC fights in a row. Because of that, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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