UFC on ESPN 72: Andre Fili vs. Christian Rodriguez Prediction for Tomorrow, 08/09/25
UFC on ESPN 72: Andre Fili vs. Christian Rodriguez Pickswise Expert Predictions
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 72 will see Andre Fili take on Christian Rodriguez. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Fili enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-12 and 12-11 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 37%. Fili absorbs 4.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.17 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy of 44% and his takedown defense is 70%.
Rodriguez enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-3 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.63 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Rodriguez is absorbing 2.66 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.84 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 69%.
Rodriguez is the significant favorite in this fight, but still looks to be worth a bet. He has won 5 of his last 7 UFC fights, while Fili has won just 4 of his last 10 UFC fights. Because Fili has been wildly inconsistent, backing Rodriguez to win will be our lean.
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Matthew Lowrimore
UFC Analysis
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