UFC on ESPN 72: Steve Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction

UFC on ESPN 72: Steve Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction for Tomorrow, 08/09/25

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UFC on ESPN 72: Steve Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-200)

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 72 will see Steve Erceg take on Ode Osbourne. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Erceg comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4 and 3-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Erceg is absorbing 4.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.84 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 26% and his takedown defense is 63%.

Osbourne enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-8 and 6-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Osbourne is absorbing 3.82 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.11 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 28% and a takedown defense of 65%.

Erceg is the clear favorite in this fight, but given his and Osbourne’s recent inconsistencies, we will be targeting this fight to end inside the distance. Osbourne has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Erceg has seen 2 of his last 4 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have recently had a high finish rate, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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