UFC on ESPN 73: Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio Prediction for Saturday, 11/08/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Christian Leroy Duncan take on Marco Tulio. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Duncan absorbs 2.94 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 11% and his takedown defense is 71%.

Tulio enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-1 and 4-0 in the UFC. He averages 7.54 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Tulio absorbs 2.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has been decent at best, averaging 0.88 takedowns every 15 minutes.

Tulio is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has superior striking volume, while also having never lost in the UFC. Further, his grappling is also better; therefore, backing Tulio to win will be our play.