UFC on ESPN 73: King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr. Prediction for Saturday, 12/13/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see King Green take on Lance Gibson Jr. This will be a fight in the UFC Catch Weight division. Green enters this fight with an MMA record of 32-17-1 and 17-14-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.40 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Green is absorbing 3.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling has been decent throughout his career, averaging 1.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense of 74%.

Gibson Jr. enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-1, and this will be his UFC debut. He has won 7 times by finish in his career, which includes 4 wins by KO/TKO, and 3 wins by submission.

Green is the significant favorite, but still looks to be the best betting option. As mentioned, Gibson Jr. has never fought in the UFC, while Green is a UFC veteran. He is an excellent striker as well; therefore, backing Green to win will be our lean