College Football Picks

The Midshipmen are ranked, 9-2 SU, and on the brink of winning a 10th game. Meanwhile, Army is 6-5 and lost to Tarleton State, an FCS team, earlier this year. However, this rivalry throws all of that out the window. Regardless of where either team goes from here, we can be rest assured of one thing: this is the Super Bowl for both the Black Knights and Midshipmen. What does that mean? You don’t want to be laying points in this one, period.

This is the type of game where Army can do more than just cover, the Black Knights can win. Navy’s offense? Indeed, it is like a video game come to life. Blake Horvath and company lead the nation in rushing yardage, and they boast a top-25 offense in scoring — averaging 32.5 points per game. The problem? Navy’s defense. The Mids give up nearly 400 yards of total offense per game (112th overall in the FBS), and they surrender 27 points per contest. By those numbers alone, Army will be in position to cover if Navy’s usuals play out. But, if Army is in position to cover here, that means they will also be in a position to win. Given the volatility of America’s Game, an underdog that is live is an underdog that can win. Black Knights outright with the upset.

Army vs Navy prediction: Army Black Knights ML (+205) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Navy’s offense alone can get us into striking distance. The Midshipmen score 32 points per game after all. Navy also bleeds points. Though they marked off wins at a clip while doing so, they gave up 23 points to Tulsa, 31 to Temple, 24 to UAB, and in a rivalry game against Air Force, the Midshipmen gave up 31. The Force’s modus operandi is like that of Army’s, they love to run the football. This is also a Navy football team that we have seen get exposed in particular against the run. All of this lends to Army getting multiple opportunities to get on the scoreboard.

Typically, Army-Navy games are lower scoring and if we rewind a few years back, the under was always the trendy play, hitting for over a decade. That’s changed recently, as the over has cashed in 2 of the last 3 meetings. Navy’s offense has become prolific, but the problem is that on the back-end, Navy has shown it will give up points. With a defense like Navy’s and a spirited outfit like the Black Knights, who will have a few tricks up their sleeves, that seems unlikely. Grab the over.

Army vs Navy prediction: Over 38 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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After a long and eventful college football regular season, the most wonderful time of the year is finally here. Bowl season might not be as essential across the college football landscape as it once was, but it still presents bettors with a plethora of games to handicap and wager on. The first matchup of college football’s unofficial postseason features a couple of strong programs, as the Boise State Broncos will take on the Washington Huskies in the LA Bowl on Saturday. Both teams are expected to be mostly intact in this game, and we shouldn’t see either side impacted all that much by opt-outs and potential transfers. With that in mind, I’m going to eschew taking a side on the spread and focus on the total in this contest.

For starters, Washington has been able to work through its injuries over the last few months and the Huskies should be healthier coming off a bye week. Furthermore, it looks like Washington is motivated to play in this game, as star running back Jonah Coleman and future NFL wide receiver Denzel Boston should be in the lineup on Saturday. Head coach Jedd Fisch recently stated that he expects all of his starters to suit up in this game, outside of those with long-term injuries. With that in mind, this offense is extremely dangerous, especially with quarterback Demond Williams playing behind an offensive line should be healthy for the first time in well over a month. Washington has shown that it can score with anybody when healthy (5th in success rate, 15th in EPA per play, 17th in points per drive), and it shouldn’t face much resistance against a Boise State defense that is 117th in points per quality drive allowed and has struggled against the run all season long.

On the other side, the Broncos offense should be largely intact for this game — including quarterback Maddux Madsen and the dynamic running back trio of Dylan Riley, Sire Gaines and Malik Sherrod. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall should be able to generate success on the outside against a Washington pass defense that has struggled when stepping up in class this season. Both of these teams don’t play at an extremely fast pace, but given that it is the final game for a lot of key contributors on both offenses, I can’t imagine either unit taking their foot off the gas in a spot where they’ll both have a favorable matchup against their opponent. With nothing troubling in the weather forecast on Saturday, this game should finish in the mid-50s. Let’s start off bowl season with plenty of points.

Boise State vs Washington prediction: Over 52 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 52.5.

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