Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCLA Bruins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/17/25

UCLA enters this matchup with a strong home profile, sitting at 7-3 overall and unbeaten at home, where their identity has been built around defense and pace control. The Bruins are allowing just 66.7 points per game, holding opponents under 42% shooting, and consistently forcing teams into long, uncomfortable half court possessions. Offensively, UCLA is efficient rather than explosive, averaging about 76.7 points per game while shooting well from the field and three point range, but rarely pushing tempo unnecessarily. That measured approach has played a major role in the trend at Pauley Pavilion, where the under has cashed in six of their last seven home games as UCLA dictates rhythm and limits total possessions.

Arizona State comes in at 9-2 with a more capable scoring profile, averaging roughly 80.7 points per game and shooting near 39% from three. The Sun Devils can score in spurts, but their offense is more structured than frantic, ranking modestly in assists and often relying on set execution rather than constant transition. Against a UCLA defense that excels at closing out shooters and taking away easy looks, Arizona State may find those scoring runs harder to sustain. With both teams comfortable operating in the half court and UCLA especially committed to slowing the game at home, this matchup profiles as a grind rather than a track meet. The combination of defensive efficiency, controlled tempo, and a strong home under trend makes a lower scoring outcome the most likely path.

Arizona State vs UCLA Prediction: Under 146.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 145.5