Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/10/26

The Big 12 tournament tips off on Tuesday as the Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils face off in Kansas City. The big boys don’t get started until Thursday, but there are a few teams playing on Day One of the tournament that are worth keeping an eye on. Teams like BYU, Cincinnati, and Baylor all have the talent to make a deep run, even in a tough conference. Baylor has been playing good basketball lately—at long last—and they are far more talented than this Arizona State team. Baylor won the only meeting between these teams by 5 points, and that was in Waco. I will still take the Bears -3.5, and I love that we are getting a short number for this game.

Down the stretch, Baylor has a big road win at UCF, and they almost beat Arizona, Iowa State, and BYU. “Almost” does not get it done, but it does point to a team whose talent has not matched their record. The Sun Devils are nothing special, and they seem to be coming unraveled a bit. I really think this is a spot where talent wins out. Give me the Bears -3.5.

Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction: Baylor -3.5. Playable to -5.5.