Baylor Bears vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 01/28/26

We have a battle at the bottom of the Big 12 standings on Wednesday between the Baylor Bears and Cincinnati Bearcats. The Bearcats just endured a rough week in Arizona, dropping lopsided games to both the Wildcats and Sun Devils. They are now 2-5 in conference play and they will have to win on Wednesday without one of their key players, McDonald’s All-American freshman Shon Abaev. Baylor, on the other hand, has been ravaged by a nasty schedule while falling to 1-6 in conference play. The Bears will need to start stealing some road games to have any shot at postseason play. This is a tough game to take on the spread, but I do like this game to be a classic Big 12 rock fight and stay under the 147.5 game total.

Baylor is a good offense with a terrible defense, while Cincinnati is a bad offense with an elite defense. This game is probably going to grind down to a low-scoring affair, and it would be a shock if it gets past 70 points per team. Baylor has faced 3 elite defenses (top 15) in conference play: Houston, Kansas and Iowa State. The Bears scored 55, 62 and 60, respectively, against those teams. Cincinnati is also a top-15 defense, and Baylor is likely to have a similar outcome. The inefficient offense of the Bearcats (203, per KenPom) should suppress points on the other end. This is likely to be a 70-66 type of game, one way or another. Give me the under.

Baylor vs Cincinnati prediction: Under 147.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 145.5.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook for the Super Bowl, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get $100 FanCash bet matches on their first 10 wagers! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Baylor vs Cincinnati predictions.