California Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

Stop busting brackets and sign up for the Pickswise March Madness Premium Picks now! Our expert picked Florida at HUGE +4000 odds last year and is up +30.7 units over the last 3 NCAA Tournaments! Get futures picks and daily best bets throughout all of March Madness, all for just $50. Click here to join and get 20% off before Selection Sunday!

The evening session of the ACC tournament sees the California Bears facing the Florida State Seminoles. They are playing for the right to have a go at Duke tomorrow. Cal is a bubble team that probably needs the win today and tomorrow to get over the hump. I suspect they will bow out today and end all mystery. Florida State won the regular season matchup by 2, but that was in Tallahassee. It is suspicious that moving to a neutral venue has a spread this large, and this game is drawing some attention because of it. I think this line is daring us to take Cal, and I am not going to do it. Give me the Seminoles to cover.

The statistical profiles would suggest this game would stay close. The Noles like to play fast, and they create a lot of turnovers. Cal is more deliberate, and they take care of the basketball. It is odd that this game stayed in the low 60s the first time, and I expect the Seminoles to force the issue a bit more in the rematch. FSU shot terribly behind the arc in the first game, and they had to do all their work in the paint. A little bit of correction there and this is a Florida State cover. I’ll take my chances there.

Cal vs Florida State Prediction: Florida State -4.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook, where you can receive a 100% bet match on your first wager up to $250! 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT250BM, where you can bet on our Cal vs Florida State picks.